Lets remember based on the current ocean temperature set up, and many other factors I was expecting a jet stream configuration like this for the winter..
So far this has not been the pattern. We have currently had a pattern similar to whats below with all the cold air out west..
So what to the models say? Well I have been following the trends closely last few days and they are very consistent in showing this projected pattern below develop by the time we get to say around New Years..
Bottom line is this: The seasonal response of the jet stream based on all the factors I used to make my winter outlook is finally starting to show on the long term models. If this continues and verifies for January and especially February this winter is just getting started!
Before we get there, we have a very mild week ahead with rain on tap. Temperatures are going to rise into the high 60s by Christmas Eve! Expect rain to develop tomorrow and also Wednesday night into Christmas Eve morning. Christmas day looks to be clear with highs in the high 50's to low 60's. We do not start to see this pattern change until we get closer to New Years weekend.
Thanks for checking in, more to come.