Thursday, November 22, 2012

NAO Crashes Next Week,Still Bullish on Storm, and Increasing Chances of White Christmas

Happy Thanksgiving everyone. The next 10 days are going to be very exciting weather wise. The NAO (see basic lingo defined) is now looking to crash down to levels close to where it was during hurricane Sandy. This means we should see a very dynamic trough develop middle of next week which would allow the upcoming storm to form along the coast line. Modeling is still all over the place, some take the storm west of us, some take it out to sea however, I see no reason to change my prediction at this time. I am still bullish on the fact that a stronger colder storm will evolve. In any regard it is looking more and more like we will have a cold December, which will increase our chances for a white Christmas  Take a look at this invasion of cold air on the models next week which I believe is a sign of things to come all month (blue and green are cold)...

source:weatherbell.com



Usually a setup like this produces snowstorms and given the track the the storms this fall have taken, I find it hard to believe this will end up being a weak frontal system as some modeling is indicating. We will have to wait and see. Enjoy the day everyone.

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