Monday, November 26, 2012

Less Snow Expected

Good morning, a lot has changed in the last 24 hours. The trend that was holding up all week has broken and the models have now converged on fragmenting this storm resulting in a much weaker solution. Snow will still fall but accumulations will be a lot less. It looks now like we can see a dusting to an inch of accumulation, with a outside chance at more (only one model has several inches falling). I am surprised that this storm did not form as originally expected due to the pattern we are in, but it shows how complex the weather is. Sometimes the modeling does an excellent job, and other like in this case it has a very hard time piecing the atmosphere together. If something changes with the afternoon updates I will make note but as of now I am going to have to stick with what the models are saying since we are only 24 hours away. Keep checking in because I am going to be talking more about what to expect in December when it comes to winter weather.

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