Thursday, July 21, 2016

On vacation

Posting resumes next week. As we head into Aug, I am going to start to slowly honeing in on hints of what next winter might have in store.

Friday, July 15, 2016

Weekend Update..Some Relief

Posting from my cell phone since one of the storms last night knocked power out at my house.  Hot weather continues today but we will get a slight relief from the humidity as a weak cold front moves through. Still expect temps to be in the 90s today.

As I mentioned earlier in the week a frontal boundary stays stalled to our south over the weekend. This means things can get unsettled at times a shower or storm possible. Still expect mostly sunny skies w temps in high 80s to low 90s Saturday and high 80s Sunday. Humidity stays lower with a west to northwest wind.

Thanks for checking in.

Monday, July 11, 2016

Monday Morning Weekly Weather Summary: Comfortable and Calm to Warmer and Unsettled

Good morning. The heat from last week has broke and we are now undergoing a period of perfect summer weather. The next three days will feature calm and seasonable conditions with temperatures in the mid 80's. Expect things to feel comfortable with the humidity staying pretty tame during this period. You can see high pressure will be in control..


As we get into later in the day Wednesday, a warm front will start to creep into the area. This will result in warmer and humid conditions for Thursday and Friday with the chance at some showers and a few storms Thursday..


On Friday, a cold front moves through later in the day. This will cause more unsettled weather with some showers and storms also a possibility.

The interesting part of this forecast then is how this frontal boundary behaves this weekend. There are signs that this can stall just to our south then lift back northward. This means temperatures do not cool down much this weekend due to the front drifting back northward and bringing back in the warm air. You can see in the image below how lingering unsettled weather is possible along this drifting frontal boundary this weekend..


We are going to have to watch this closely and see how it effects the weekend forecast. At this time it appears the weekend is hot and humid with the chance at unsettled weather. No washouts in the cards at this time. 

Will update later this week. 

Tuesday, July 5, 2016

Tuesday Weekly Weather Discussion: Turning Up The Heat

Good morning. Hope everyone enjoy the holiday weekend. The weather ended up being perfect.

The one thing we will all notice this week is the arrival of summer heat. Starting with today, things will start to heat up today as this low pressure system that delivered rain last night slides off shore..


The jet stream then begins to rise over our area which brings in all the warm humid air from the south for Wednesday and Thursday. You can see this below as indicated by the red colors. 


Expect Wednesday to be sunny with highs in the low to mid 90s

Thursday is more of the same but expect more scattered clouds with a shower or storm possible. This is due to a few upper level disturbances that will swing through. I would expect to see a few storms with this but not widespread.

Heading into the weekend we will be dealing with a frontal boundary that moves into the area Saturday. Ahead of this front Friday will also be hot and humid.

 This front is associated with a low pressure system up to our north. The image below shows this..


We need to track the timing of this frontal passage but at this time there looks to be unsettled weather Friday night through Saturday. Expect showers and storms during this period.

This paves the way for beautiful weather Sunday. Low humidity and temperatures in the low 80's. 

Thanks for checking in. 

Friday, July 1, 2016

Holiday Weekend Update: Few Storms Today Then Perfect

Good morning. Hope everyone is ready for a beautiful holiday weekend. The weather will be picture perfect as we head into tomorrow through Monday. The only bump in the road is later this afternoon as a cold front fires up some storms..


These should approach late afternoon and clear out relatively quickly. 

In the wake of this front we are left with perfect weather for the weekend. Temperatures will be in the mid 80's with a northwest wind holding down humidity! 

Enjoy!

Monday, June 27, 2016

Monday Morning Weekly Weather Summary: Frontal Passages

Good morning, hope everyone had a good weekend. We have a generally nice week ahead. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80's all week with some showers to deal with early in the week as a front moves through the area.

Today will stay mostly sunny with highs in the low 80's. A frontal boundary approaches tonight which will bring scattered showers...

The tricky part of this forecast is determining how long this front lingers around for. Models are indicating it will stall just to our east Tuesday. This means we need to leave open the chance for more showers with more clouds than sun. You can see below the models show this scattered shower activity lingering...


I think this should all pull out by Wednesday giving way to sunny skies. 

Thursday and Friday are in the clear as well.

Holiday Weekend Sneak Peak:

The overall pattern for Independence Day weekend will feature an upper level trough lingering around the region..


Translation: Temperatures should stay tame (80's) with sunny skies and the chance of a passing shower at times. I do not expect any washouts through early Sunday. I am watching the potential for a low pressure system to develop to our south Sunday afternoon into Monday but there is not enough evidence to for me to mention rain. Right now things look to be in the clear.

Will update again this week. 

Thanks for checking in. 

Friday, June 24, 2016

Friday Weekend Weather Outlook: Picture Perfect

Good morning everyone. We have an absolutely beautiful weekend on tap. Plenty of sunshine, low humidity and temperatures in the low to mid 80's!

High pressure dominates...


We also have winds from northeast today and tomorrow. This helps keep humidity down..


So we have had this persistent wavy weather pattern over the last several weeks. This has resulted in cooler conditions for the east and scorching heat out west.  Its funny how the weather works. Just like in a winter when it stays warm and each modeled cold shot never really materializes the same is happening right now this summer. It has been weeks that things looked like they could move towards a more sustained warm pattern. Latest evidence suggests the contrary.  The European ensemble keeps this pattern in place through Independence Day..

Notice the persistent ridging along the west with the trough of low pressure in the east. This pattern means we will continue to have up and down weather (many fronts moving through) and cooler than normal overall.  If only this was the winter...

Thats all for now, enjoy the weekend!