Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Wednesday Update: Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Good morning. As Memorial Day weekend is fast approaching, lets take a look at what the weather has in store. Overall, I like what I see. It will not be the warmest Memorial Day we have seen, especially directly on the beach, but nothing to frown at.

Starting off with Friday, A cooler winds keeps temps on the tame side especially up in New England...


Notice the temperature boundary between north and south. It will feel cold in Northern New England.

By Saturday, high pressure is in full control causing temperatures to rise in most places. Expect widespread 70's for Sat. 

At the beach however a ocean breeze will keep the beach fronts cooler in the 60's....


A warm front then moves thorough Sat night causing some showers to develop..




This will then result in all areas including the immediate coast warming up Sunday into 70s and low 80s...


By Memorial Day... a small frontal passage Sunday night cools things down in New England but things stay warm for most areas. Expect more sunny skies after some showers Sunday night.

So there you go overall a nice weekend with just a few showers on tap.

Enjoy. 

Wednesday, May 15, 2019

Wednesday Update: Miserable Weather is Over

Good morning. We just underwent a pretty depressing few days of weather. No one likes to see cold rainy days in mid May. In fact, the mountains of New England even saw snowfall from our last storm system! 

The good news is the next few days will return to more seasonable conditions. We will see mostly sunny skies with temperatures in the low 70s. There is the chance of some showers on Friday but nothing that will make the day a washout. 

Below you can see the frontal system that will cause showers on Friday...

That will clear out by the evening paving the way for a nice weekend.

The reason the weather has been so stormy and cold has been due to a area of high pressure over Greenland. This is called a - NAO pattern. It causes the jet stream to buckle and storms to consolidate over the eastern 1/3. If this was the winter we would be gassing up the snowblower frequently. Since it is May we were left with a cold rain. You can see this pattern below...


In the long range there are finally hints showing up of a summer like warm up along the east. A ridge of high pressure may develop causing warm and humid air from the south to rise into the region towards the end of May...

This would bring summer weather into the area. We will have to keep a close eye on if this trend continues. I have a feeling it may be pushed off a little still.

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

Wednesday Update: Finally A Nice Stretch of Weather

Good morning. After a miserable rainy weekend, we finally are currently under a nice stretch of weather. This will continue through the 1st half of the weekend with limited chances of any showers. We then may have some rain to deal with on Sunday.

High pressure is keeping the rain at bay...

As we get towards Friday, a front will increase the chance of showers and a few storms by Friday afternoon...

This will pave the way for a beautiful Saturday with high pressure in control again...


We then have the chance of another storm system for Sunday..


We will keep an eye on this and see how far it gets north.

Thats all for now, enjoy the week. 

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

Wednesday Update: Stalled Frontal Boundaries=Unsettled Weather

Good morning. There will be more up and down weather as we finish up this week and head into the weekend. A stalled frontal boundary means there will be multiple chances for shower activity and cloudy weather through the next several days.

Tomorrows weather is a good example of this...


Temperatures will not be too warm however as backdoor cold fronts keep the area cool as seen by the tongue of blue (lower dew points)...



Things by the weekend stay unsettled with temperatures in the high 60's and the chance at some more showers and clouds. There is a chance that a  more steady rain can develop Saturday afternoon. 

Not a great week overall. Lets hope this pattern breaks soon.


Tuesday, April 23, 2019

Tuesday Weekly Weather Update: Overall Nice Week on Tap

Good morning. Now that the rain has cleared out from the storm system we had over the weekend, we will have a decent stretch of weather upcoming. Expect sunny skies and temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s in some spots. There is the slight chance for some showers tonight then a better chance at more consistent showers on Friday as a front moves through. The weekend looks nice a this time.

Starting tonight a weak front moves through bringing with it the chance of a shower...


This will be not a big deal and by tomrorow things are completly clear again.

The weather then holds strong until Friday where a stronger cold front will bring more widespread showers and storms...

The good news is this will clear by Saturday paving the way for a really good start to the weekend.

Then we have a wildcard situation for Sunday. 

Some models do show a low pressure system cliping through the area...

Other models have a more dry scenario. At this time I would be too concerned about rain Sunday. Lets wait and see how this evolves.

In the long range I do not see any big heat spells on the horizon. The weather pattern is still in transition and we will have more back and forth weather. We will see by May how the summer pattern evolves. 

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Tuesday Update: Seasonable Week Ahead, Some Rain Over Weekend

Good morning. We have a typical mid spring week on tap. It may be slightly on the chilly side, but temps should reach low 60s for highs through Friday. Rain is mostly limited (some sprinkles tomorrow morning) until Friday afternoon into Saturday morning where a storm system can bring some consistent rain. This leads to an Easter Sunday that will have volatile weather conditions with a few showers possible mixed with sun.

We a decent stretch of weather for the next few days with high pressure to our northeast...

By Friday a storm system develops in the Ohio Valley and will impact our region with some thunderstorms Friday afternoon and then rain through Saturday morning...


By Easter Sunday the front has cleared out with an upper level low spinning over the area...


This means volatile conditions with the chance of a few showers mixed with sun. Overall it should not be too bad Sunday.

Enjoy the week!

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Wednesday Update: Seasonable Temps, Shot of Rain Masters Sunday

Good morning. Now that we are in the "off season" my posting will be limited to once a week unless there is a big weather event. I will usually try to time these posts towards the beginning of every week to give a summary of the week ahead.

For today I want to discuss the next several days and what to expect weather wise. Temperatures will be seasonable to slightly on the chilly side in the next two days. Expect highs in the mid to high 50's with Saturday being the warmest day with temps hitting 70.

We will have a round of showers Friday night as a weak front crosses into the region...




Things then clear for Saturday and half of Sunday before the arrival of a low pressure system later this weekend. This low pressure system can really throw a wrench down in Augusta Georgia for the Masters Golf tournament Sunday...



I am thinking there will be some stoppage of play Sunday due to the timing of this.

Looking at the long range, I do not see any big warm ups on the horizon. Just seasonable temps with brief shots of warm weather. The upper level pattern is preventing any sustainable warmth due to high pressure near Greenland...


As we get closer to May the real spring weather should arrive. Until then expect more back and forth as we go through this seasonal transition.