tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post8407809150453526434..comments2024-03-27T14:00:31.961-04:00Comments on Weather Willy's Weather: Friday Morning Tropical Update: Erika Loosing SteamWeather Willyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13387468068540557329noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-91649085263816333782015-08-31T07:32:36.533-04:002015-08-31T07:32:36.533-04:00Hey Jim, missed your note. Erika was interesting. ...Hey Jim, missed your note. Erika was interesting. I think by just looking at the upper level maps it looked like it was going to have a tough go from the start. The models however kept initially insisting it was going to survive the shear and strengthen. Lets hope these models do a better job in the winter! I will say however the Euro was the best performing in my opinion. <br /><br />This next system Fred looks like it will just curve to the north, but hey at least its something to watch. Whats even cooler are those 3 typhoons out in the pacific. You don't see that too often at the same time. Weather Willyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13387468068540557329noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-52815172663170478132015-08-29T12:35:10.955-04:002015-08-29T12:35:10.955-04:00Oh well . . . NHC discussion for 930 AM Saturday:...Oh well . . . NHC discussion for 930 AM Saturday: "Surface observations from Cuba, satellite imagery, and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Erika has degenerated into a trough of low pressure, with the remnants of the center located near the north coast of eastern Cuba . . . The dynamical models suggests that the current strong wind shear could relax by the time the system reaches the Gulf of Mexico, and there is a possibility that Erika could regenerate." <br /><br />But even if not . . . there's 99L off of Cape Verde, with >50% chance of tropical storm development; some models have it pointed due west into the "main development region" for the Atlantic. <br /><br />Erika was interesting to watch on the radar sequence runs -- it was a real shape-shifter, throwing off vortexes north and south. Was often hard to figure which one was still the center of circulation. But for now, there is no "COC". It never really got all that well organized, never looked anything like those monsters currently out in the Pacific. But it was still a deadly storm that took lives, and the Gulf Coast is still gonna get really wet. Jim GAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com