tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post7011033884297933500..comments2024-03-27T14:00:31.961-04:00Comments on Weather Willy's Weather: Monday Morning Weather Discussion: Evaluating a Storm Threat for ThursdayWeather Willyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13387468068540557329noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-57976290387231150102016-01-26T08:40:26.754-05:002016-01-26T08:40:26.754-05:00PS, I am reading something about sudden strat warm...PS, I am reading something about sudden strat warming for February, that will keep us in the icebox thru early March. Seems like something to keep an eye on. Jim GAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-74859970671143837892016-01-26T08:30:44.200-05:002016-01-26T08:30:44.200-05:00Willy, with all due respect for the great job that...Willy, with all due respect for the great job that you do . . . I think that we are having one of those really crazy winters, with highly chaotic weather patterns affecting our part of the world. Maybe it's the el Nino energy, maybe it's a touch of global warming, whatever -- but for this winter, it looks really hard to accurately predict anything past 148 hrs. I personally don't like winter storm names, but I'll break down and address the recent event as "Jonas" -- so, the models and advance forecasts for the 2nd half of January didn't suspect a thing, until around the 15th. That's when you first hinted about a possible storm in the offing, but on the 16th you went skiing and didn't sound too optimistic about snow. Yea, I'm a WX NEWBIE, haven't even progressed yet to "newbie" with lower case letters . . . but I have watched the models with much interest this past month, and wow, things change so quickly. All the variance between models and from one run to another. I dunno, but my SWAG is that the rest of the winter is really jump ball. Yea, Nino is declining, but the Arctic is slowly starting to heat up too, the North Pole is seeing a minute or two of daylight. Actually, because of all this chaotic quasi-randomness, we need guys like you more than ever, just because things change so quickly. So definitely keep on doing what you're doing, I'm definitely learning from it. And yes, I would like to know what you see as the major synoptic weather trends for the next 6 weeks. But IMHO, one of those major trends is increased standard deviation, i.e. volatility -- just like the stock market is going thru these days. Interesting theory -- the stock market is volatile and unpredictable right now because the weather is so volatile and unpredictable. Well, thanks for putting up with my SWAG. Jim GAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-69119439003448750092016-01-26T08:07:56.798-05:002016-01-26T08:07:56.798-05:00Thank you!Thank you!Weather Willyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13387468068540557329noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-25843343378253467122016-01-25T22:20:14.978-05:002016-01-25T22:20:14.978-05:00Thanks Willy, nice overall job on the last storm. ...Thanks Willy, nice overall job on the last storm. I enjoy reading your detailed explanations and learning about these systems.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-45871329533905100912016-01-25T18:21:03.987-05:002016-01-25T18:21:03.987-05:00I would disagree, we should see a small pullback h...I would disagree, we should see a small pullback heading into Feb then I really expect Feb into early March to be the core of our winter. Next storm threat could be around superbowl weekend.I respect Accuweather but disagree. The reasons are the factors behind my winter outlook. Weather Willyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13387468068540557329noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3789852038134041446.post-91165346843710032962016-01-25T16:20:12.243-05:002016-01-25T16:20:12.243-05:00Accuweather posted up an article saying that the n...Accuweather posted up an article saying that the next threat for snowstorms (after Friday) will be later in February and early March.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com