WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Monday, November 23, 2020

Monday: Taking a Look at Thanksgiving into Early December

 Good morning. I wanted to take a look at the weather for Thanksgiving week into early December today. 

Overall even though it is going to Rain on Thanksgiving Day, the weekend should be quite nice. Early December then looks to get pretty active and we will be on the lookout for the first snow event of the season. This goes along with what my winter outlook research suggested. 


Starting off, we have a front that just is passing through the area now. This will cool things down for the next two days. Expect temperatures in the 40's (warmer near the coasts) for many through Tuesday...



Things then begin to warm up Wednesday ahead of an approaching storm system for Thanksgiving day. Expect rain to move in late Wednesday night and last through most of Thanksgiving day...



Things clear out Thursday night and the weather becomes quite nice for the weekend. Expect seasonable to slightly mild conditions with temperatures in the low to mid 50's. We will see some 60's near the coasts Friday.


All attention then turns to December. As of now the models are starting to support my idea of an active December this year. No storms on the radar yet, but we are seeing an upper air pattern that can support storms first two weeks of December. All the major models now look similar. I show this below...



Basically what you are looking at above is a weather pattern that would allow the atmospheric flow to slow down and potentially consolidate in the eastern 1/3 of the country. We should have enough cold air in play to give at least a shot at the first winter storm system of the season. Problem is we will have to wait to see if the focus will be on folks in the interior of if areas near the coasts can get in on the action. We will have to wait to see. 

Regardless, the models are starting to look similar to my winter forecast analogs for December...



Stay tuned, it is still early in the game so a lot can change. Blog activity will be picking up.


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