WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Thursday, June 20, 2019

Thursday Update: Rain Breaks This Weekend

Good morning. It has been an old fashioned rainy week. In fact, with summer starting tomorrow, it has been a very rainy spring. This is all attributed to high pressure over the poles and Greenland causing the jet stream to buckle over our area. The result is frequent rounds of unsettled weather like we saw this week. Winter weather fans this is what we need to see in the winter! Too bad the pattern came too late this year.

Today is more of the same with rounds of rain...

By tomorrow afternoon things clear the sun comes out and and we have a beautiful weekend on tap with high pressure in control..


Humidity will be low and temperatures will be in the 70's to low 80s in spots. It will literally be a perfect weekend.

For next week, I do not see any consistent rain events just  few chances of showers and storms with conditions warming up a little.

Enjoy the weekend!

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Thursday: Weekend Outlook

Good morning. We currently are dealing with a low pressure system that is moving through the area. This means rain will continue till late morning/early afternoon...


Things will not clear out until tomorrow.

By tomorrow we have a beautiful day on tap with sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 60's to low 70s.

Things will warm up a little more for Saturday with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 70s.

By Sunday,  a frontal system will give us the chance of showers and some storms in the afternoon through evening...


This frontal boundary will linger into early next week which could cause some unsettled weather Monday and Tuesday.

In the long range, we potentially have hints it can warm up by the end of June...


Models are indicating some ridging can form close to the east coast centering over the Midwest. This would mean heat moves in from the south. The question is how far east this would come.

Enjoy the weekend. 

Tuesday, June 4, 2019

Tuesday Update: Nice and Cool This Week

Good morning. Well yesterday and this morning certainty feel more like fall than summer. Temps went down into the low 50's and 40's for some last night and will rise into the low 70s today. Good take to take in the brisk air.

Things will warm up a little tomorrow into the low 80s as warmer air moves into the region.

This will be followed by the passage of another cold front Wednesday night into Thursday morning causing showers and storms..



In the wake of this front things cool down again into the upper 70s through the weekend.  It may not be a scorcher but it really will be perfect weather.

Dew points this weekend which show how much moisture is in the air will be low which means very comfortable air...


Dew points also help show fronts or boundaries of air. You can clearly see that boundary over DE and southern PA.


So why hasn't it been to hot this spring so far and why have we seen more storms than last year?

Well it has to do with the pattern in the higher latitudes. We have had a lot of high pressure over the pole and Greenland which causes the jet stream to buckle and allow cooler air to funnel south.  In the winter this means more shots for snow. In the spring and early summer it means cooler and unsettled weather as warm and cooler air collide more frequently. This is also why you have heard of more tornado's this year.

The image below shows what I am talking about...



The red is high pressure. Notice how it is all bottled up to the north. This pattern may not break till late June this year. Eventually the real heat will come but the question is will it be persistent this summer. Time will tell but for now enjoy the nice weather!