WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Sunday, December 23, 2018

Sunday Morning Discussion: Flakes for Some Christmas Eve

Good morning. As Christmas approaches we all are looking out of windows wondering when the snow will come! Well, for some this year, especially those in NNJ into PA and southern New England the dream may come true. A very weak storm system will track through early on the morning of the 24th dropping a dusting to 1" for these areas. A few local 2" amounts are possible. This should just be enough to make it a White Christmas for some.

So lets take a look at whos backyard will luck out.

Here is the projected snow system. It arrives very early on the 24th and is over before the end of the morning...

Surface temps will be marginal in the mid 30's for most. BUT for areas in NJ north of I-78 and over 800ft in elevation, I think you see a white ground from this. For PA and Southern New England the same holds true. For other lower lying areas you will see flakes but not any accumulations for the most part. 

This is not a big enough event for me to make my own map, but I will show the model printout that makes the most sense which is the European...

You can see the 1" areas confined to NW NJ in the higher elevations.

In the wake of this things stay chilly but then we get more rain towards the middle of next week.

The winter pattern should get rocking, but its not going to be till after December 31st in my opinion. 

The first period to watch for a signifigant winter storm is between January 2nd and 6th.

More to come on this.

Merry Christmas!

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