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Wednesday, April 4, 2018

Wednesday Update: Snowstorm Potential for Saturrday

Good morning. This is no April fools joke, the current weather pattern we are in is impressive and potentially will deliver more winter weather on Saturday! I know this is bad news for most, but for a weather nut like me I can never get enough.

So lets talk about whats going on and how I think this evolves.

As I have been discussing we have very cold air in Canada that will be getting delivered into the eastern 1/3 of the country as we approach this weekend...


Also notice the pattern of a ridge in the west, some blocking over Greeland and an impressive vortex over eastern Canada. All these factors help lock in this cold air...


This air mass will feel more like March than April and is the first ingredient in our potential winter storm.

As this cold air mass establishes itself, a low pressure system will try to spin up on the boundary between warm and cold air Saturday...


Now as it stands I think the models are still too far south with this. I think it is likely this warm/cold boundary is a little more north and as a result we have the storm track about 50-75 miles more north than what you see above. That would make the threat map look like this...


Too early to talk accumulation as that is really depending on timing. If the storm hits peak during Saturday afternoon totals will be reduced due to the Sun. If it hits peak earlier then we have higher totals to discuss. Regardless, the potential for 4+ inches is easily on the table here.


More to come daily on this.

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