Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Storm Winding Down, Snow Showers Linger Tonight

130pm Update:

Snow is ending across the state of NJ into the NY metro. We will have snow showers throughout the night however as some left over banding moves across the area from PA...



To the north over New England, snow continues through tonight. There will be a changeover near Boston and southern CT and RI. To the inland I expect heavy snow to continue. The highest totals will be in interior New England. Some areas will see over two feet. 

It was a disappointment for any areas south and near I-95. The storm lived up to its power (high winds, intense precipitation) but the warm air moved in more than expected. Areas to the north and west saw at least 10-14 inches so far. Much more has fell out in NY State and NE PA. I will evaluate everything tonight in a final post. For any of you that may have some choice words on your lack of snowfall, the comments section is up and running below.

Stay tuned.

12 comments:

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  2. Best case scenario IMO! No need to shovel here in Red Bank and we are getting 2 feet of snow at our place in Ludlow VT. Time to put the rock ski's back in the closet and bust out the 95's! Thanks for everything you do to keep us all excited about winter.

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    1. Good old Ludlow, cool little town I love heading up to that area. Enjoy the powder!

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  3. Maybe 9 inches in Montclair; would be more but the snow is heavy with lots of ice pellets. Not exactly the perfect storm after all, if you like fluffy snow. Looks like the westward track progression by the models over the past few days continued right up thru the real storm. And it was pretty fast and maybe the cold air flow in the trough wasn't as strong as assumed -- wouldn't these make sense given a + NAO and a + AO? Still a very impressive storm though, something to remember winter 17 by. Jim G

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    1. Well, I guess 9 is better than nothing but much less than forecast. Crazy how all model guidance except NAM showed all snow for NNJ even up to this morning! The European ensemble had over 75% probability of at least a foot of snow. Shows you how much we still have to learn for models. Despite the models all showing snow, the soundings where always right on the edge. I was looking at them last night and the signs were there. One little nudge west and boom the sleet takes over and thats exactly what happened. Good lesson for next time,

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  4. Once again, great guidance and here near Trenton it went pretty much as expected. Lots of sleet, snow mixed in, low'ish totals, heavy as hell, not too bad. I had a dueling "favorite weather-guy" argument with a friend last night - he was convinced we were going to get buried, and I urged caution because we were close to the rain/snow line. He now knows what I have long known - do not doubt Weather Willy!

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    1. Thanks Eric. It was a close call for your area and that extra surge of warmth this morning tipped you over the edge to ice. A difference in 30 miles in that low pressure track would have caused the opposite to happen. Thats why the weather will always keep us on our toes. Thanks for following.

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  5. Finally some snow for the snow-hole areas of NY/PA. 16" and still snowing West of Binghamton, NY around 5:30 PM DST. a little more is expected from snow showers tonight and tomorrow. 16" is not the 1993 storm that dumped 34 inches in the back yard. However, with all the missed storms over the years, 16 inches of snow is GARGANTUAN!

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    1. Awesome, its about time you got your snow! Long overdue!

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  6. I have 2 fitting words for you based on the up, down, start, stop and miss yet accuracy of this storm and your forecast - THANK YOU!

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  7. Great service, Weather Willy! Thank you for your time...

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