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The 2023 Winter Outlook

Monday, September 12, 2016

Monday Morning Weekly Weather Summary: Waves of Fall

Good morning. We have a nice fall chill in the air this morning and it is very welcoming given the heat we have had in recent days. Temperatures around the state currently sit in 50's. So will this last? Yes and no. Each week that goes by it will be harder and harder to have sustained hot and humid temperatures. However, we are going to keep seeing a back and forth between warmer than normal and seasonal conditions over the next few weeks.

For this week, temperatures will hover in the low 80's today and Tuesday and make their way into the mid to upper 80's Wednesday. Releif then comes back in again Thursday as another cold front sweeps through..

The winds will shift and flow in from the northwest. This will bring temps back down into the low to mid 70's on Thursday and Friday! Highs at night will be in the low 50's for many spots. There will also not be much rain expected just maybe a few showers as this front passes Wednesday night.

For the weekend, things look to stay tame with temperatures in the high 70's maybe touching 80. We might see some scattered thunderstorm activity on Sunday as another front approaches. 

That iis all for now. On another note, I have started to work on  my Winter Outlook 2017. That will be released in middle October. Stay tuned!

4 comments:

  1. Can we have some hints before the middle of October? I'm guessing its probably looking like a very cold winter due to the warm "blob" in the Pacific.

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    1. I am expecting a winter that yes can trend cold but right now I think it might be focused more in New England. Need to see how certain things trend over next month.

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  2. Check out the 2017 Farmer's Almanac - lots of cold and snow for all the northeast, according to their method -- whatever that is. Jim G

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    1. haha yeah who knows what their method is. I like the overall winter set up that the eastern 1/3 can see but right now I am not completely sold on mid-atlantic. New England I think is setting up well. That southeast ridge might be a factor but still need a month of data to try to make a prediction. Pacific has been trending well especially with more of a neutral enso projected and warm pool off west coast. Other factors like the QBO and October snow cover remain to be seen.

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