Friday, September 2, 2016

Friday Night Storm Discussion: The Coast Needs to Prepare

*MAJOR TROPICAL STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. COASTAL AREAS WILL BE HIT BY HOURS OF HEAVY RAIN, POWERFUL WINDS, AND ROUGH SURF. BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING ARE PRIMARY CONCERN.*


Tropical Storm Hermine is not backing down. Latest model guidance projects the track I feared which is a stalled storm just off the Delaware coast. This is a very unique situation and will have big impacts on every coastal area from Delaware up to Long Island. The time to prepare is now if you live near the ocean. There is still a chance this trends more east, which would limit wind impacts, but that is not my forecast at this time. 

I have maintained my forecast map from yesterday. The red zone is my primary concern...



The Updated Summary:


  • Major tropical storm effects the whole Mid Atlantic coast Saturday night through Monday
    • Storm arrives Saturday night and hits its peak intensity Sunday afternoon and evening.
    • Storm should start to pull away by Monday morning
  • Coastal areas including the whole Jersey Shore will see the brunt of the impacts 
    • Wind gusts up to 65mph with sustained winds of 40mph+ by the time we get to Sunday afternoon and night at the beach areas.
    • Extremely dangerous surf coupled with heavy rains will batter beaches and cause flooding issues
  • Further inland will experience a windy rain from Sunday into Monday morning.
    • Sharp cutoff in the rain expected along the Interstate 95 corridor
    • Expect 3-4" of rain near the coast with 1-2 inches inland to I-95
  • This will be a historical event due to the long duration and impacts it will cause along the coast

Updated video discussion is below:


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