Good morning everyone. I mentioned in my last post how I expect this current pullback in temperatures not to last long. My target period for at least a return to colder temperatures is post Superbowl. I also am watching the potential for a storm to develop.
I put this image out on Tuesday morning from the GFS ensemble...
Over the next several days I want to track the trends in this scenario so we can all watch it evolve. This is obviously all pure speculation but I thought it would be fun considering the pattern looks to get ripe again.
Here is the latest run valid around the same time..
The whole idea here is that a big storm in the middle of next week (focused on the plains states) will sweep in very cold air. In its wake a western ridge pumps up and energy dives down into the trough over the east potentially consolidating into a storm sometime the week of the 7th.
This is a model ensemble so the colors will look more stretched out and not as bold in these maps. However as we get closer to this period we will see if all that blue energy focuses along the east into a storm.
That is all for today, lets watch this all evolve.