WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

This Morning It's all about the Cold!


This image is a graphic from weatherbell.com. Take a minute to look at what this is showing. On the pane on the right you can see what the breakdown is of the temperatures over the entire United States as of 7 am.  85.3% are at 32 degrees or lower! That is the coldest November morning since 1976! You can't help be be impressed by the strength of this historic arctic outbreak.

Now relative to averages, this will be hard to repeat this winter. I do however think that we  see frequent outbreaks of cold as we go though the winter months. All due to episodes of stratospheric warming that I discussed in more detail back on November 3rd. The factors that drive this warming are discussed in my Winter Outlook.

Here is the updated summary of temperatures for the rest of the week. 



This impressive cold lasts until Sunday where things really warm up nicely. Why? Because a storm system is going to pass to our west which brings a southwest wind into our area...



Now as for Friday, at this point we might see a few flurrys. There are no winter storm threats on the horizon over the next 7 days. The weather pattern should start to relax a little before reloading after the 1st week of December.This means temperatures will be closer to averages.

Once we hit December, the word snow is not as rare and based on how I think the winter will go, I think we see our first shot at a wide spread accumulating snow event. Remember I am expecting two big storms this year (accumulations of 10 in or more) by the time its all said and done. It's not easy to get one big storm let alone two. So lets see how this all plays out, its a bold call. 

Towards the end of this week, I am going to start focusing on Thanksgiving weekend's weather. 

No comments:

Post a Comment