Friday Morning: Higher Elevation Saw Nice Taste of Winter Last Night, Very Cold Conditions Underway

Well the snow fell yesterday in most areas but only really accumulated above 500 ft. In the higher elevations of NJ, 1 inch fell in many spots with as much as 3 inches in local spots. Not a bad way to start the snowfall season at all. 

The theme moving forward over the next week will be the sustained cold...

Here are temperatures departure from normal in Celsius over next 7 days...

Everyone is really going to notice the chill by early to mid next week when temps don't even break 40! You can see the vortex like feature near our area at that time..

Here is the updated GFS models projected high temps each day for North Jersey, other areas will see similar temps I am just using this as a proxy..

So for those of you who have been reading you see how the factors discussed back in My post on November 3rd led to this. Expect this process to repeat a few times this winter leading to frequent arctic outbreaks. In between, the pattern should relax at times. There is evidence of the pattern relaxing after the ten day period, but I don't think its anything to write home about.

By the way, as this cold pattern finally does try to relax a little end of next week we still need to be on alert of a possible storm to develop. As a note, when I speculate on long term storm threats take it for what it is speculation. I will actually give an opinion when we are within the 5 day period. 

But in any event, we still have evidence of a jet split middle of next week..

No projected storms on the map for end of next week, but we should keep monitoring this period.  Remember the storm system early in the week I expect to be a cold rain. So nothing to get excited about there. 

Stay tuned.