Unstable Start to Week, Cold in Aug Continues...Warm up in Sept

Today's post will take a look at the rest of Aug and temperature projections for September. The Aug trend will continue which involves colder than normal temperatures over our forecast region. This is the the upper air pattern favoring a trough over the east and ridge out west as shown below..

This has been the pattern all month which we why we have seen more wet weather. Troughs bring along with them lower pressures which causes more unstable weather to effect our area. Here are projected temps for the rest of the month departure from adverage (c).

As I said you can see above that the trend continues. September however will be much different in my opinion. I am predicting that high pressure will return to the northeast and we will see warmer than normal temps. The western part of the country will experience the opposite. The long rang model is starting to show that to an extent...

Winter will be interesting this year as there are a lot of moving parts that are starting to change. I am going to continue to take a look at these seasonal patterns over the next few weeks. 

I will mention that there are hints that tropical activity will develop in the gulf over the next week. At this point I do not see a threat, but it is worth keeping an eye on. 

images from weatherbell.com